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Fractal Market Analysis
$ 7.86
($ 7.86 inc Tax)
Category:
Stock trading
Fractal Market Analysis: Applying Chaos Theory to Investment and Economics by Edgar E. Peters, Alan Ed. Peters
The average investor is usually unaware of the theoretical bases and academic underpinnings of various investment strategies. Investment books and popular reference guides barely mention efficient market or random walk theory, and the mathematical aspect of portfolio management theory appears as little more than a footnote. Little actually new has been added to the field of investment and market theory for the last 30 years, but recently Peters introduced the landmark
Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets
(1991). Chaos theory is a branch of mathematics that, despite its name, attempts to make order out of seemingly random events and that has found application in the natural sciences. Market chaologists, as they have come to be known, have marshaled an array of formulas and computer models but have been criticized for not being able to explain their ideas in practical terms or to demonstrate how to apply these ideas. Fractals are the main mathematical tool of chaos theory, and Peters now shows how these can be applied to financial markets and trading. This book is unquestionably complex and relatively expensive, but all libraries with investment collections should consider purchasing at least one copy
Table of Contents
1
Introduction to Fractal Time Series
3
2
Failure of the Gaussian Hypothesis
18
3
A Fractal Market Hypothesis
39
4
Measuring Memory - The Hurst Process and R/S Analysis
53
5
Testing R/S Analysis
65
6
Finding Cycles: Periodic and Nonperiodic
86
7
Case Study Methodology
107
8
Dow Jones Industrials, 1888-1990: An Ideal Data Set
112
9
S&P 500 Tick Data, 1989-1992: Problems with Oversampling
132
10
Volatility: A Study in Antipersistence
143
11
Problems with Undersampling: Gold and U.K. Inflation
151
12
Currencies: A True Hurst Process
159
13
Fractional Noise and R/S Analysis
169
14
Fractal Statistics
197
15
Applying Fractal Statistics
217
16
Noisy Chaos and R/S Analysis
235
17
Fractal Statistics, Noisy Chaos, and the FMH
252
18
Understanding Markets
271
Appendix 1: The Chaos Game
277
Appendix 2: GAUSS Programs
279
Appendix 3: Fractal Distribution Tables
287
Bibliography
296
Glossary
306
Index
313
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