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Fractal Market Analysis           
$ 7.86 ($ 7.86 inc Tax)  
 

Category: Stock trading

Fractal Market Analysis: Applying Chaos Theory to Investment and Economics by Edgar E. Peters, Alan Ed. Peters 
The average investor is usually unaware of the theoretical bases and academic underpinnings of various investment strategies. Investment books and popular reference guides barely mention efficient market or random walk theory, and the mathematical aspect of portfolio management theory appears as little more than a footnote. Little actually new has been added to the field of investment and market theory for the last 30 years, but recently Peters introduced the landmark Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets (1991). Chaos theory is a branch of mathematics that, despite its name, attempts to make order out of seemingly random events and that has found application in the natural sciences. Market chaologists, as they have come to be known, have marshaled an array of formulas and computer models but have been criticized for not being able to explain their ideas in practical terms or to demonstrate how to apply these ideas. Fractals are the main mathematical tool of chaos theory, and Peters now shows how these can be applied to financial markets and trading. This book is unquestionably complex and relatively expensive, but all libraries with investment collections should consider purchasing at least one copy

Table of Contents

1 Introduction to Fractal Time Series 3
2 Failure of the Gaussian Hypothesis 18
3 A Fractal Market Hypothesis 39
4 Measuring Memory - The Hurst Process and R/S Analysis 53
5 Testing R/S Analysis 65
6 Finding Cycles: Periodic and Nonperiodic 86
7 Case Study Methodology 107
8 Dow Jones Industrials, 1888-1990: An Ideal Data Set 112
9 S&P 500 Tick Data, 1989-1992: Problems with Oversampling 132
10 Volatility: A Study in Antipersistence 143
11 Problems with Undersampling: Gold and U.K. Inflation 151
12 Currencies: A True Hurst Process 159
13 Fractional Noise and R/S Analysis 169
14 Fractal Statistics 197
15 Applying Fractal Statistics 217
16 Noisy Chaos and R/S Analysis 235
17 Fractal Statistics, Noisy Chaos, and the FMH 252
18 Understanding Markets 271
Appendix 1: The Chaos Game 277
Appendix 2: GAUSS Programs 279
Appendix 3: Fractal Distribution Tables 287
Bibliography 296
Glossary 306
Index 313



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